National Pastime Right Handed Hitter Outs
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National Pastime Right Handed Hitter Outs
We’re doing the same thing we did yesterday.
Once again, the model card has changed slightly. This is the model card I have for right handed batters in National Pastime:
Every single play result number has changed position except for PRN 24 on dice roll number 41.
Here are the play result number frequencies:
12: 1
24: 1
25: 1
26: 1
27: 2
28: 3
29: 1
30: 2
31: 2
32: 2
33: 2
34: 1
35: 1
Left handed hitters and switch hitters usually have a 13 or 14 on dice roll 36. Meanwhile, dice roll 61 for right handed hitters is usually a 13 or a 40, though it is also a base hit (play result number 9) for 13 right handed hitters.
These are the players who match this sample card the closest:
The fact that we’ve got 27 players whose hitting cards match this out model directly is very strong evidence that Clifford Van Beek did indeed use model cards to create his players. That’s 27 out of 177, or a little over 15% of all right handed hitter cards. Yesterday we saw that 20 out of 111 left handed and switch hitter cards fit the model — or 18%. I’d argue that this number is quite significant.
The following players break the model:
Ted Gullic and Harry McCurdy are special cases. We’ll look closer at their cards in the near future.
As was the case with left handed batters and switch hitters, some dice roll numbers break the pattern more often than others:
12: 140/177, 79.1%
14: 139/177, 78.53%
16: 104/177, 58.76%
21: 167/177, 94.35%
23: 168/177, 94.92%
24: 148/177, 83.62%
26: 103/177, 58.19%
32: 160/177, 90.40%
34: 166/177, 93.79%
36: 164/177, 92.66%
41: 175/177, 98.87%
43: 118/177, 66.67%
46: 168/177, 94.92%
52: 161/177, 90.96%
53: 126/177, 71.19%
54: 117/17, 66.1%
56: 173/177, 97.74%
62: 101/177, 57.06%
63: 167/111, 94.35%
65: 168/177, 94.92%
None of the dice roll numbers match the sample card 100% of the time, though some come very close to doing so.
We’ll look at all of this in more detail in the future.