I love Clay's idea. For the last year or so, I have used a pitch-count formula I saw on the APBA Baseball Facebook page:
It is 3.3 pitches per PA + 1.5 for each Strikeout + 2.2 for each Walk.
And it works pretty well. In my current GTOP tournament, I limit each starter.. he cannot face a new batter once he reaches 110 pitches. As a result, most starters have to come out by the 7th or 8th inning. It forces me to make strategic use of bullpens, which I really enjoy. Roughly one of every 25 starts still results in a 9-inning complete game.
But Clay's formula is much simpler. And I'm stunned at how accurate it appears to be.
Just for fun, I just grabbed a random pitcher for a quick test. Don Sutton of the 1988 Dodgers..
I love Clay's idea. For the last year or so, I have used a pitch-count formula I saw on the APBA Baseball Facebook page:
It is 3.3 pitches per PA + 1.5 for each Strikeout + 2.2 for each Walk.
And it works pretty well. In my current GTOP tournament, I limit each starter.. he cannot face a new batter once he reaches 110 pitches. As a result, most starters have to come out by the 7th or 8th inning. It forces me to make strategic use of bullpens, which I really enjoy. Roughly one of every 25 starts still results in a 9-inning complete game.
But Clay's formula is much simpler. And I'm stunned at how accurate it appears to be.
Just for fun, I just grabbed a random pitcher for a quick test. Don Sutton of the 1988 Dodgers..
Real life:
375 BF
44 K's
30 Walks
1,337 Pitches
827 Strikes
Using Clay's formula:
1,347 Pitches
838 Strikes
My mind is officially blown.
Great job, Mr. Dreslough.
Fascinating!